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Texas A&M vs. Auburn: Expert Prediction, Odds, and Key Matchup Insights

A pivotal late-season SEC clash is set for Saturday as No. 15 Texas A&M takes its playoff hopes on the road to face Auburn. Here’s what the expert analytical models predict for this showdown.

Current Standings

Texas A&M: Second in the SEC, the Aggies remain in the playoff hunt and look to build momentum ahead of next week’s rivalry game against Texas.
Auburn: Struggling in Hugh Freeze’s first season, the Tigers sit at 1-5 in SEC play and rank 61st nationally in scoring offense.

SP+ Score Prediction

The SP+ model projects a tightly contested game, with Texas A&M narrowly edging Auburn by a predicted score of 26-22, giving the Aggies a 58% chance of victory.

SP+ evaluates college football efficiency using tempo- and opponent-adjusted metrics to forecast outcomes. This season, the model has performed at 51.8% accuracy against the spread.

Odds and Betting Lines

According to FanDuel Sportsbook:

Point Spread: Texas A&M -2.5
Moneyline: Texas A&M -130, Auburn +108
Over/Under: 45.5 points

Betting Tips

Based on the prediction:

Take Texas A&M -2.5 to cover.
Bet the Aggies moneyline (-130).
Consider the over (45.5) given both teams’ offensive potential.

Betting Trends

73% of bets favor Texas A&M to cover the spread, while 27% predict Auburn could pull off an upset or keep the game within a field goal.

Computer Predictions

The College Football Power Index (FPI) also favors Texas A&M, giving the Aggies a 57.7% chance of winning. The projected margin of victory is 2.8 points, aligning closely with the SP+ forecast.

Future Projections

Texas A&M: Sixth in the SEC with an 11.3% chance to reach the College Football Playoff and projected to win 8.8 games this season.
Auburn: Facing long postseason odds with just a 4% chance of bowl eligibility and a projection of 4.5 wins.